TY - JOUR
T1 - Optimizing business strategies for carbon energy management in buildings
T2 - a machine learning approach in economics and management
AU - Zhang, Hong
AU - Abbas, Teeb Basim
AU - Zandi, Yousef
AU - Agdas, Alireza Sadighi
AU - Agdas, Zahra Sadighi
AU - Suhatril, Meldi
AU - Toghroli, Emad
AU - Ibraheem, Awad A.
AU - Salameh, Anas A.
AU - AL Garalleh, Hakim
AU - Assilzadeh, Hamid
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Korean Carbon Society 2024.
PY - 2025/4
Y1 - 2025/4
N2 - Optimizing business strategies for energy through machine learning involves using predictive analytics for accurate energy demand and price forecasting, enhancing operational efficiency through resource optimization and predictive maintenance, and optimizing renewable energy integration into the energy grid. This approach maximizes production, reduces costs, and ensures stability in energy supply. The novelty of integrating deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in energy management lies in its ability to adapt and optimize operational strategies in real-time, autonomously leveraging advanced machine learning techniques to handle dynamic and complex energy environments. The study’s outcomes demonstrate the effectiveness of DRL in optimizing energy management strategies. Statistical validity tests revealed shallow error values [MAE: 1.056 × 10(−13) and RMSE: 1.253 × 10(−13)], indicating strong predictive accuracy and model robustness. Sensitivity analysis showed that heating and cooling energy consumption variations significantly impact total energy consumption, with predicted changes ranging from 734.66 to 835.46 units. Monte Carlo simulations revealed a mean total energy consumption of 850 units with a standard deviation of 50 units, underscoring the model’s robustness under various stochastic scenarios. Another significant result of the economic impact analysis was the comparison of different operational strategies. The analysis indicated that scenario 1 (high operational costs) and scenario 2 (lower operational costs) both resulted in profits of $70,000, despite differences in operational costs and revenues. However, scenario 3 (optimized strategy) demonstrated superior financial performance with a profit of $78,500. This highlights the importance of strategic operational improvements and suggests that efficiency optimization can significantly enhance profitability. In addition, the DRL-enhanced strategies showed a marked improvement in forecasting and managing demand fluctuations, leading to better resource allocation and reduced energy wastage. Integrating DRL improves operational efficiency and supports long-term financial viability, positioning energy systems for a more sustainable future.
AB - Optimizing business strategies for energy through machine learning involves using predictive analytics for accurate energy demand and price forecasting, enhancing operational efficiency through resource optimization and predictive maintenance, and optimizing renewable energy integration into the energy grid. This approach maximizes production, reduces costs, and ensures stability in energy supply. The novelty of integrating deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in energy management lies in its ability to adapt and optimize operational strategies in real-time, autonomously leveraging advanced machine learning techniques to handle dynamic and complex energy environments. The study’s outcomes demonstrate the effectiveness of DRL in optimizing energy management strategies. Statistical validity tests revealed shallow error values [MAE: 1.056 × 10(−13) and RMSE: 1.253 × 10(−13)], indicating strong predictive accuracy and model robustness. Sensitivity analysis showed that heating and cooling energy consumption variations significantly impact total energy consumption, with predicted changes ranging from 734.66 to 835.46 units. Monte Carlo simulations revealed a mean total energy consumption of 850 units with a standard deviation of 50 units, underscoring the model’s robustness under various stochastic scenarios. Another significant result of the economic impact analysis was the comparison of different operational strategies. The analysis indicated that scenario 1 (high operational costs) and scenario 2 (lower operational costs) both resulted in profits of $70,000, despite differences in operational costs and revenues. However, scenario 3 (optimized strategy) demonstrated superior financial performance with a profit of $78,500. This highlights the importance of strategic operational improvements and suggests that efficiency optimization can significantly enhance profitability. In addition, the DRL-enhanced strategies showed a marked improvement in forecasting and managing demand fluctuations, leading to better resource allocation and reduced energy wastage. Integrating DRL improves operational efficiency and supports long-term financial viability, positioning energy systems for a more sustainable future.
KW - Carbon energy management
KW - Deep reinforcement learning (DRL)
KW - Economic impact analysis
KW - Monte Carlo simulations
KW - Sensitivity analysis
KW - Statistical validity tests
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=105001646196&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s42823-024-00801-6
DO - 10.1007/s42823-024-00801-6
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105001646196
SN - 1976-4251
VL - 35
SP - 607
EP - 621
JO - Carbon Letters
JF - Carbon Letters
IS - 2
M1 - 126914
ER -