Abstract
This study investigates the finite-time stability of fractional-order (FO) discrete Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) models for COVID-19, incorporating memory effects to capture real-world epidemic dynamics. We use discrete fractional calculus to analyze the stability of disease-free and pandemic equilibrium points. The theoretical framework introduces essential definitions, finite-time stability (FTS) criteria, and novel fractional-order modeling insights. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical results under various parameters, demonstrating the finite-time convergence to equilibrium states. Results highlight the flexibility of FO models in addressing delayed responses and prolonged effects, offering enhanced predictive accuracy over traditional integer-order approaches. This research contributes to the design of effective public health interventions and advances in mathematical epidemiology.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 100188 |
| Journal | Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine Update |
| Volume | 7 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Jan 2025 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
Keywords
- Disease-free equilibrium
- Epidemic modeling
- Finite-time stability
- Fractional-order discrete SIR model
- Pandemic equilibrium
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