On finite-time stability of some COVID-19 models using fractional discrete calculus

Shaher Momani, Iqbal M. Batiha, Issam Bendib, Abeer Al-Nana, Adel Ouannas, Mohamed Dalah

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

This study investigates the finite-time stability of fractional-order (FO) discrete Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) models for COVID-19, incorporating memory effects to capture real-world epidemic dynamics. We use discrete fractional calculus to analyze the stability of disease-free and pandemic equilibrium points. The theoretical framework introduces essential definitions, finite-time stability (FTS) criteria, and novel fractional-order modeling insights. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical results under various parameters, demonstrating the finite-time convergence to equilibrium states. Results highlight the flexibility of FO models in addressing delayed responses and prolonged effects, offering enhanced predictive accuracy over traditional integer-order approaches. This research contributes to the design of effective public health interventions and advances in mathematical epidemiology.

Original languageEnglish
Article number100188
JournalComputer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine Update
Volume7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2025

Keywords

  • Disease-free equilibrium
  • Epidemic modeling
  • Finite-time stability
  • Fractional-order discrete SIR model
  • Pandemic equilibrium

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