TY - JOUR
T1 - A Review on Artificial Intelligence Methodologies for the Forecasting of Crude Oil Price
AU - Chiroma, Haruna
AU - Abdul-Kareem, Sameem
AU - Shukri Mohd Noor, Ahmad
AU - Abubakar, Adamu I.
AU - Sohrabi Safa, Nader
AU - Shuib, Liyana
AU - Fatihu Hamza, Mukhtar
AU - Ya’u Gital, Abdulsalam
AU - Herawan, Tutut
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 TSI® Press.
PY - 2016/7/2
Y1 - 2016/7/2
N2 - When crude oil prices began to escalate in the 1970s, conventional methods were the predominant methods used in forecasting oil pricing. These methods can no longer be used to tackle the nonlinear, chaotic, non-stationary, volatile, and complex nature of crude oil prices, because of the methods’ linearity. To address the methodological limitations, computational intelligence techniques and more recently, hybrid intelligent systems have been deployed. In this paper, we present an extensive review of the existing research that has been conducted on applications of computational intelligence algorithms to crude oil price forecasting. Analysis and synthesis of published research in this domain, limitations and strengths of existing studies are provided. This paper finds that conventional methods are still relevant in the domain of crude oil price forecasting and the integration of wavelet analysis and computational intelligence techniques is attracting unprecedented interest from scholars in the domain of crude oil price forecasting. We intend for researchers to use this review as a starting point for further advancement, as well as an exploration of other techniques that have received little or no attention from researchers. Energy demand and supply projection can effectively be tackled with accurate forecasting of crude oil price, which can create stability in the oil market.
AB - When crude oil prices began to escalate in the 1970s, conventional methods were the predominant methods used in forecasting oil pricing. These methods can no longer be used to tackle the nonlinear, chaotic, non-stationary, volatile, and complex nature of crude oil prices, because of the methods’ linearity. To address the methodological limitations, computational intelligence techniques and more recently, hybrid intelligent systems have been deployed. In this paper, we present an extensive review of the existing research that has been conducted on applications of computational intelligence algorithms to crude oil price forecasting. Analysis and synthesis of published research in this domain, limitations and strengths of existing studies are provided. This paper finds that conventional methods are still relevant in the domain of crude oil price forecasting and the integration of wavelet analysis and computational intelligence techniques is attracting unprecedented interest from scholars in the domain of crude oil price forecasting. We intend for researchers to use this review as a starting point for further advancement, as well as an exploration of other techniques that have received little or no attention from researchers. Energy demand and supply projection can effectively be tackled with accurate forecasting of crude oil price, which can create stability in the oil market.
KW - Computational intelligence techniques
KW - Crude oil price
KW - Genetic algorithms
KW - Hybrid intelligent systems
KW - Individual intelligent systems
KW - Neural networks
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84954141316&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/10798587.2015.1092338
DO - 10.1080/10798587.2015.1092338
M3 - Review article
AN - SCOPUS:84954141316
SN - 1079-8587
VL - 22
SP - 449
EP - 462
JO - Intelligent Automation and Soft Computing
JF - Intelligent Automation and Soft Computing
IS - 3
ER -