Optimized Gaussian Process Regression for Prediction of Oil and Gas Pipelines Defect Length

Huda Aldosari, Raafat Alfouly, Reda Ammar

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

Magnetic flux leakage (MFL) signals are used to estimate the scale and form of faults caused by the decaying metal used to build oil and gas pipelines. These faults, such as rust, can have catastrophic consequences if left undetected and improperly treated, both in terms of environmental damage and loss of life, as well as millions of dollars in maintenance costs for the stakeholders. Machine learning algorithms have proven their ability to solve the problem by correctly recognizing and calculating the scale and form of certain defects. The nonparametric and Bayesian approach to regression known as Gaussian process regression (GPR) is gaining popularity in machine learning. The optimization of GPR was carried out in this report using noisy and noiseless MFL signal measurements. The tune-able hyper-parameters were subjected to GPR optimization. Root mean square error (RMSE) error was used to calculate the output. In this research, the Quasi-Newton Method (QNM), an automated methodology for optimizing nonparametric regression analysis, was used to refine the GPR model. The optimization results are then compared to GPR analysis with default parameters, and it has been shown that QNM effectively optimizes the GPR while producing lower RMSE scores on all datasets. The ideal inferred parameter set can be used to train the GPR model for better output outcomes in determining oil and gas pipeline defects.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)11-20
Number of pages10
JournalEPiC Series in Computing
Volume79
StatePublished - 2021
Externally publishedYes
Event34th International Conference on Computer Applications in Industry and Engineering, CAINE 2021 - Virtual, Online
Duration: 11 Oct 202113 Oct 2021

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