Government innovation support for green development efficiency in China: A regional analysis of key factors based on the dynamic GMM model

Local government innovation support (LGIS) is an exogenous pulling force for high-quality economic development. Accurately identifying the mechanism by which LGIS affects green development remains practically and theoretically significant for building a long-term framework for driving green development. Based on provincial panel data (2010–2019), this paper uses the Super-SBM model to measure the green development efficiency (GDE) of different provinces in China. A dynamic panel GMM model is constructed to evaluate the significant relationship between LGIS and GDE and to explore the potential impact mechanism of other key factors such as fixed asset investment (FAI), environmental regulation (ER), industrial structure (IS), and foreign direct investment (FDI) on GDE. The estimation showed that LGIS had a positive impact on GDE. The data analysis indicated that GDE in the lag period significantly affected the GDE in the current period. More so, as per the results, the promoting effect of GDE in the second lag period gradually weakened due to the decline of LGIS and ER restrictions. The current model also revealed that FAI and ER inhibited the GDE progress, while IS and FAI had improved the state of GDE in the region. The research findings imply that China should further increase the government innovation expenditure, FDI utilization, and IS upgrade to promote high-quality economic development.