Exact prediction intervals for future current records and record range from any continuous distribution

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Abstract

In this paper, a general method for predicting future lower and upper current records and record range from any arbitrary continuous distribution is proposed. Two pivotal statistics with the same explicit distribution for lower and upper current records are developed to construct prediction intervals for future current records. In addition, prediction intervals for future observations of the record range are constructed. A simulation study is applied on normal and Weibull distributions to investigate the efficiency of the suggested method. Finally, an example for real lifetime data with unknown distribution is analysed.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)251-270
Number of pages20
JournalSORT
Volume38
Issue number2
StatePublished - 1 Jul 2014
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Coverage probability
  • Current record values
  • Pivotal quantity
  • Prediction interval
  • Record range

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