A new inverted topp-leone distribution: Applications to the COVID-19 mortality rate in two different countries

Ehab M. Almetwally, Randa Alharbi, Dalia Alnagar, Eslam Hossam Hafez

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

68 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper aims to find a statistical model for the COVID-19 spread in the United Kingdom and Canada. We used an efficient and superior model for fitting the COVID 19 mortality rates in these countries by specifying an optimal statistical model. A new lifetime distribution with twoparameter is introduced by a combination of inverted Topp-Leone distribution and modified Kies family to produce the modified Kies inverted Topp-Leone (MKITL) distribution, which covers a lot of application that both the traditional inverted Topp-Leone and the modified Kies provide poor fitting for them. This new distribution has many valuable properties as simple linear representation, hazard rate function, and moment function. We made several methods of estimations as maximum likelihood estimation, least squares estimators, weighted least-squares estimators, maximum product spacing, Cramér-von Mises estimators, and Anderson-Darling estimators methods are applied to estimate the unknown parameters of MKITL distribution. A numerical result of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained to assess the use of estimation methods. also, we applied different data sets to the new distribution to assess its performance in modeling data.

Original languageEnglish
Article number25
Pages (from-to)1-14
Number of pages14
JournalAxioms
Volume10
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • COVID-19
  • Distribution maximum
  • Inverted topp-leone
  • Likelihood estimation maximum
  • Modified kies family
  • Product spacing

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